Analysis-As US rate cuts near, economic 'soft-landing' odds could ...

Aug 26, 2024 · With interest rate cuts virtually locked in, investors are ramping up their focus on economic data over the next few months as they game out whether the “soft landing” narrative that has ...

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US Economy On Track For Soft Landing, Near-100% Chance Of A Sept …

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Jul 23, 2024 · The market currently sees a near-100% chance of a September cut, with more cuts expected by year-end. UBS predicts the Fed will adopt a measured approach, cutting rates …

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Why The U.S. Economy Is Still Strong Despite The Fed's 2022-23 Rate ...

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2 days ago · After the Fed finished lifting rates in July 2023 to between 5.25% and 5.5% - from a low of close to zero in mid-March 2020 - officials left rates on hold for more than a year before …

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Is the fed causing a soft landing?

That signal is far from an all-clear for investors, however. Some market observers have recently questioned whether the Fed has left rates at elevated levels for too long, potentially hurting the chances of pulling off an economic soft landing, where it lowers inflation without badly hurting growth. ...

Is the fed the biggest risk to soft landing next year?

The Fed stepped in aggressively in 2022 with rate increases but continued to expect that rebalancing of supply was crucial. All that said, the Fed is the biggest risk to soft landing next year. There is an intense debate over when the Fed will cut rates next year and by how much. ...

Is the US economy headed for a soft landing?

UBS analysts reiterate their confidence in a soft landing for the US economy, with inflation on a downward trend and the Federal Reserve poised to cut rates. "We maintain our view that the US economy is headed for a soft landing," states UBS. They point to moderating consumer spending as a key factor in bringing down inflation. ...

Is the economy gliding to a soft landing?

The comments are far from an all-clear signal. With the S&P 500 up 18% on the year and equities richly valued, market participants will need to see continued evidence that the economy is gliding to a soft landing, where growth remains resilient while inflation cools. ...

Is the Fed too late for a'soft landing'?

Prospects of a “soft landing,” where the Fed brings down inflation without pushing the economy into recession, have lifted stocks and bonds this year, though signs of a softening labor market have fueled worries that the Fed may be too late in acting to shore up growth. ...

Is a soft landing possible?

A soft landing — avoiding a recession and getting inflation down — was seen as impossible. Those experts were wrong. The soft landing is in sight. I nflation fell from a 9% annual rate in the summer of 2022 to 3%, unemployment has had its longest run under 4% since the 1960s, and consumer spending, inflation-adjusted, rose at a fast clip. ...